This timeline highlights some of the market events during the last few weeks and how our experienced team has navigated the market volatility. We also highlight what to look out for in the weeks ahead and highlight some positives amongst all the negative news.
The attributes we like in a company are a strong management team, an effective board, strong alignment with its majority owners and management, a conservative and introspective culture, a franchise which has pricing power and generates superior returns on capital employed, and the potential to be...
The U.S. High Yield market, as represented by the ICE BofAML US High Yield Constrained Index (HUC0) posted a +2.6% Q4’19 total return (‘TR’), and a +14.4% total return for the full-year 2019. The strong 2019 represented the fourth best annual return since the post-GFC recovery in 2009; modestly t...
In January, our Asia Fixed Income team provided an outlook for the asset class in 2020. Since then, developments associated with coronavirus have dominated attention and affected sentiment towards financial markets worldwide. In this update, Jamie Grant, Head of Emerging Market and Asia Fixed In...
We recently travelled to Sub-Saharan Africa to undertake bottom-up research on a number of high yield sovereign credits, namely: Kenya, Zambia and Angola. Research trips, such as these, form a vital part of our investment process; particularly for countries where idiosyncrasies are the dominant d...
The U.S. High Yield market, as represented by the ICE BofAML US High Yield Constrained Index (HUC0) posted a +1.22% total return during Q3’19, on the heels of the particularly strong, +10.16% total return of 1H’19.
Global city populations continue to grow, driven by urbanisation. The provision of housing for growing populations is a major challenge for many countries and cities. Adequate housing is a factor that influences a city’s mobility of labour, social wellbeing and commerce levels. Government housing...
In this Q2 2019 Quarterly Update we review the increasingly dovish attitudes adopted by central banks and the “whatever it takes” commitment to monetary stimulus, the general high yield market, our portfolio positioning and the top contributors and detractors from our five High Yield Fixed Income...
In general, global corporate bonds posted positive total returns during the third quarter of 2018.
This is the third investor letter for the FSSA Global Emerging Markets Focus Strategy since its launch in November 2017. In this letter, we will discuss our investment approach, process, strategy, positioning, and other matters we think are relevant to investors. As always, should you have any qu...
The latest quarterly update for the First State Investments Diversified Growth Fund.
Global credit markets have been challenged in 2018 and spreads have widened. Asian issuers have not been immune from this volatility. Following another default by a Chinese issuer, we take stock of where markets are currently, what opportunities (if any) are present in the region, and outline how...
The past decade has witnessed the birth of a new asset class: Global Listed Infrastructure Securities (GLIS). While investors have embraced infrastructure as an asset class since the 1990s, the idea of investing in infrastructure via listed securities was developed by a small number of Australian...
Emerging market (EM) debt returned positively in the third quarter, with EM high yield (HY) continuing to outperform EM investment grade.
It was John Templeton who famously skewered that old bull market hubris: “It’s different this time,” as the four most expensive words in the history of investment.
In 2017, Emerging Markets (EM) hard currency debt (JPMorgan EMBI Global Diversified) delivered a 10.3% return.
Risky assets (equities, commodities) across the board were weak in the fourth quarter and emerging market (EM) debt (JPM EMBI global diversified in US$) lost 1.25% in the quarter as the EM risk premium (spread) rose from 3.35% to 4.15%.
Asia is projected to become the oldest region in the world – by the 2030s, it will be home to around 60% of the world’s elderly. Jamie Grant, Head of Emerging Markets Debt and Asian Fixed Income at First State Investments, explains why these demographic shifts are expected to have a significant i...
2018 was a challenging year for all Emerging Markets (EM) assets and EM hard-currency debt was no exception: losses from higher US Treasury yields and higher EM risk premia outweighed the running yield and resulted in negative returns for the asset class.
We have recently updated economic climate assumptions for individual countries and, in turn, amended the Neutral Asset Allocation (NAA) for the Diversified Growth Fund. It’s a process that we complete twice a year.
The third quarter of the year was a highly eventful one during which the trade war between the US and China took a turn for the worse.
Emerging market (EM) debt (JPM EMBI global diversified in US$) markets experienced a volatile third quarter but delivered a positive return of 2.3% over the period as the EM risk premium (spread) fell from 3.69% to 3.35%.
Global GDP growth continues at long term trend levels, mainly driven by developed countries where economic growth remains broad based across the household, private and Government sectors.
The emerging market (EM) investment grade (IG) corporate bond market (USD) generated a 0.77% loss in the second quarter of 2018 based on the most widely tracked index, the JP Morgan CEMBI Broad Diversified IG index.
Emerging market (EM) debt (JPM EMBI global diversified in US$) recorded a 3.5% loss in the second quarter as the global environment became more challenging for EM countries.
A collection of key economic and political figures that we believe help to frame how we got to where we are today.
The past decade has witnessed the birth of a new asset class: Global Listed Infrastructure Securities (GLIS). While investors have embraced infrastructure as an asset class since the 1990s, the idea of investing in infrastructure via listed securities was developed by a small number of Australian...
Global Listed Infrastructure shrugged off a backdrop of political and trade uncertainty and maintained its upward path in May. The Fund’s benchmark, the FTSE Global Core Infrastructure 50/50 index ended the month +2.7% higher, while global equities¹ gained +4.2%.
As it turns out, the first half of 2018 was challenging for many financial markets in general, and many fixed income markets in particular.
It was an eventful quarter, though most factors were negative which lead to continuous spread widening for almost the entire period. Some of the notable events which kept the market jittery were, tighter monetary conditions in US and Europe, relentless emerging markets outflows amid the stronger ...
This letter forms the first in a series designed to introduce and explain our approach to sustainability, and the lessons learned so far. We hope that these reflections, drawing on the team’s combined experience, will provide a useful insight.
In general, global corporate bonds posted positive total returns during the third quarter of 2018.
It was recently the 10th anniversary of Lehman’s collapse; and in Hong Kong, warning signal ‘Typhoon No. 10’ had been hoisted, as the biggest hurricane-strength storm in recent history battered its way through the territory.